Models

Statistical models for predicting outcomes of football (soccer) matches.

Each model is capable of generating the probabilities for multiple betting markets, such as total goals, Asian handicaps and over/under.

If you are interested in the theory behind how the models work then you can take a look at the folowing articles from the pena.lt/y/blog website:

• Poisson model

• Dixon and Coles model

• Bayesian Hierarchical model

Examples:

• Poisson
• Dixon and Coles
• Rue Salvesen
• Bayesian Hierarchical Model
• Bayesian Bivariate Model
• Bayesian Random Intercept Model
• Goal Expectancy